Over the years, I’ve developed and tried to improve other techniques of seasonal forecasting. There was an extreme weather pattern setting up for the season, and it was a pretty easy forecast. I’ve always said that if it ever got to the point where I didn’t feel the confidence to be able to do it with skill, then I would ask: W hy are we doing it? We used to do them with skill. There’s no reason to do them at this point other than public demand. I have determined these forecasts to have marginal what we call “skill.” Skill is anything better than flipping a coin. First, with all of the death and destruction and the political turmoil and insanity that’s been going on recently, it just seems much less important to take up time with these seasonal forecasts. I’ve been waiting like a kid sitting beside the tree on Christmas morning for you to release your long-range Philadelphia winter weather forecast. So I called him at home to find out what the holdup is. Well, after Tynan released her latest Philadelphia long-range winter forecast in mid-November, I waited and waited for Schwartz to do the same so I could compare them, as I have in the past. And what did we get? Are you ready for this? Three tenths of an inch. Case in point: In 2019, Tynan said we could get anywhere from 18 to 24 inches of snow, while Schwartz predicted as much as 35 inches. And though these Philadelphia winter forecasts are great for ratings, they’re frequently very, very wrong. They purport to tell us how much snow we’ll get in December, January, February and March - as many as four months from the date of their predictions. In a statement issued alongside the retirement announcement, he wrote, “I’m interested in a lot of things, including continuing to write and to expand my other communications with the public on our shared destiny: the Climate Emergency.Hurricane Schwartz during his 2019 Philadelphia long-range winter weather forecast, which he says was his last (Screenshot via NBC 10)Įvery November, 6 ABC’s Cecily Tynan and NBC 10’s Glenn “Hurricane” Schwartz come out with their long-range Philadelphia winter weather forecasts. As he heads towards a final broadcast, it’s clear he hopes to keep sharing with his neighbors. The segment birthed his nickname - and the now-routine “in the storm” coverage.Ī graduate of Central High and Penn State (where he missed commencement because of, no joke, a hurricane), Schwartz spent the early years of his career in Atlanta, on local news and TWC.īy the time he made his way back to Philly in 1995, he was a seasoned pro, ready to guide residents in the Delaware Valley through events like the Blizzard of 1996, Hurricane Sandy, assorted heat waves, cold snaps, and everything in between.įrom his reputation as a Philly sports fanatic to his passion for fashion - particularly his signature bowtie - Philadelphians and regional neighbors have learned plenty about Schwartz over the years. When Hurricane Elena hit Florida, Glenn “begged” for the chance to step out into the storm, and was buffeted by wind on all sides. For instance, from the 1982 founding of The Weather Channel until 1986, the station hadn’t actually ventured outdoors to cover intense weather.
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